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Trade Results of M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Price Action Trading (no technical indicators)


click on the above image to view today's trading summary

Trade Performance for Today: +35.90 points or $3590.00 dollars in the Russell 2000 Emini TF ($TF_F) Futures.
Russell 2000 Emini TF Futures - 1 tick or 0.10 = $10.00 dollars and there's more contract information @ The ICE.
S&P 500 Emini ES Futures - 1 tick or 0.25 = $12.50 dollars and there's more contract information @ CMEGroup.

In addition, all trades were posted real-time in the free #FuturesTrades chat room. Today's #FuturesTrades trading chat room logs provides details (e.g. time, price, contract size) about each one of my trades from entry to exit along with price action commentary as the trade traversed...all archived @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=94&t=1007.

To join our free chat room...registration instructions located at a different forum @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=630

Also, posted below are direct links to information about my trade methodology and trading plan (there's a difference between the two) that enables me to identify key trading areas in the price action that represent changes in supply/demand and volatility along with being able to exploit these changes via WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis).

WRB Analysis Tutorials @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/WRBAnalysisTutorials.htm and there's a free study guide of the WRB Analysis Tutorial Chapters 1, 2 and 3 @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=180.

Volatility Trading Report (VTR) @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/VolatilityTrading.htm and there's a free trade signal strategy @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewforum.php?f=89 so that you can freely test drive one of our trade strategies with support prior to purchasing the Volatility Trading Report (VTR).

Trading Plan Daily Routine @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=143&t=1197

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Market Summaries

The below summaries by Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance helps me to do a quick review of the fundamentals, FED/ECB/IMF actions or any important global economic events that had an impact on today's price action. Simply, I'm a strong believer that many variables (key market events) causes key changes in supply/demand and volatility that results in swing points and strong continuation price actions. Thus, I pay attention to these key market events from one trade to the next trade to give me the market context for my technical analysis. Just as important, these summaries becomes my archives to allow me to understand what was happening on any given trading day in the past...something I can not get from my broker statements alone.

Dow Jones Average Posts Biggest Two-Day Slump Since 2008

Sept. 22 (Bloomberg) -- Bloomberg's Deborah Kostroun reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. U.S. stocks slumped, giving the Dow Jones Industrial Average its biggest two-day decline since December 2008, amid investors' concern that policy makers are running out of tools to avoid another global economic recession.

Stocks Plunge 3% On Fear Factor


click on the above image to view today's price action of key markets

By Maureen Farrell September 22, 2011: 5:13 PM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Investors had no place to hide on Thursday, as stocks and commodities cratered throughout the trading day.

All three indexes closed down more than 3%, clocking the worst percentage losses since August 18, 2011. At one point in late-afternoon trading, the Dow had plunged more than 500 points.

10-year Treasuries appeared to be among the only safe haven in the perilous global market. Investors piled into 10-year notes, which pushed the yield down to several new record lows throughout the day.

Investors also remain jittery over the fate of Europe. "There's still a lot of fear that September 2011 is going to be a lot like September 2008," said Larson, "and Greece is going to play the role of Lehman Brothers."

The market's fear gauge, the VIX (VIX), spiked 17% to 43.65. Any reading above 30 signals investor worry.

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) closed down 391 points, or 3.5%. It's down 7% in 2011. Shares of United Technologies (UTX, Fortune 500), Alcoa (AA, Fortune 500) and Caterpillar (CAT, Fortune 500) lost the most ground.
The Dow 30

The S&P 500 (SPX) lost 37 points, or 3.2%, with only six of its components showing gains. The S&P is down 7% for the year. The Nasdaq Composite (COMP) dropped 82.5 points, or 3.3%, and more than 10% for the year.

The Dow is on track for its worst weekly performance since September 2008: It's down 6.74% over the past four days.

Still, the S&P 500 narrowly avoided closing below 1,120, a significant technical level that would have made tomorrow's opening as negative as today, said Samuel Ginzburg, a senior trader at First New York Securities. "That number is absolutely crucial in our opinion," he said.

"The only thing that goes up in a down market is correlation. This is why you're seeing energy, stocks and other commodities all drop," said Bryce James, a partner at Shield Investment Advisors, a fixed-income fund of hedge funds.

Financial stocks were among the most bruised sectors Thursday, as rumors swirled on trading floors about Morgan Stanley (MS, Fortune 500)'s and Citigroup (C, Fortune 500)'s exposure to Greek sovereign debt. Morgan Stanley's and Citigroup's shares fell 6.8% and 7.9%, respectively. Moody's downgraded Bank of America (BAC, Fortune 500), Citigroup (C, Fortune 500) and Wells Fargo (WFC, Fortune 500) on Wednesday, adding further pressure to the sector.

The selling started early, with world markets logging steep declines. Investors globally sold out of stocks as weak manufacturing data from China sparked fears of a slowdown there.

"There was a lot of concern over China because heretofore it's been the one pocket of unstoppable strength in the global economy," said Paul Larson, chief equity strategist at Morningstar. "If that stops and China becomes a drag on worldwide growth, it could have big implications here in the U.S."

U.S. stocks also ended sharply lower Wednesday, after the Fed said it will shift $400 billion from short-term Treasuries into long-term Treasuries in an effort to boost lending and spur the economy.

While the so-called Operation Twist was what investors had been anticipating, it wasn't enough to just meet expectations.

"Once the Fed made the announcement, the anticipation was gone, and people began to look at a deeper level what it means when the Fed doesn't have any monetary tools to make a big difference in the economy," said Steve Rogers, a portfolio manager at California Investment Trust.

* Treasuries already twisting

As investors fled the global stock markets they rushed for safer havens, driving up the price on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury. That pushed the yield down to a fresh record low of 1.695% from 1.88% late Wednesday.

Commodities and currencies: Copper prices fell 7.4%, oil skidded 5.1% and silver tumbled 8.4%. Gold dropped 3.4%

The dollar moved higher against the euro and the British pound, but was slightly lower versus the Japanese yen.

Economy: The Fed's latest assessment of the economy spooked investors. Though the central bank has been warning of slower growth for months, its signal of "significant downside risks to the economic outlook, including strains in global financial markets" added to the pessimistic forecast.

A preliminary reading on China's manufacturing activity fell in September, according to HSBC's survey, renewing concerns about a sudden slowdown in the world's second-largest economy.

A separate report showed that manufacturing in the eurozone contracted for the first time in over two years, according to London-based Markit Economics.

The reading "provides the strongest sign yet that the region is on the cusp of recession," said Capital Economics European economist Ben May in a research note.

Meanwhile, the U.S. Labor Department issued its weekly jobless claims data ahead of the opening bell. The number of unemployed filing for first time benefits in the latest week fell from the prior week but still came in at a higher-than-expected 423,000.

The Conference Board's index of leading economic indicators rose 0.3% in August, higher than expected, after having climbed 0.5% in July.

* 10 crash commandments - StockTwits

World markets: European stocks all closed down. Britain's FTSE 100 (UKX) lost 4.7%, while France's CAC 40 (CAC40) fell 5.3% and the DAX (DAX) in Germany dropped 5%.

Asian markets ended sharply lower. The Shanghai Composite (SHCOMP) finished 2.8% lower, the Hang Seng (HSI) in Hong Kong plunged 4.9% and Japan's Nikkei (N225) fell 2.1%.

Companies: Shares of Goodrich (GR, Fortune 500) spiked after United Technologies (UTX, Fortune 500) agreed to buy the aircraft parts maker for $16.5 billion.

Shares of Hewlett-Packard (HPQ, Fortune 500) fell as investors anticipated a management shakeup. HP's shares soared almost 7% Wednesday on news that the company's board was considering replacing current CEO Leo Apotheker after barely a year on the job with former eBay boss Meg Whitman. The board finally pulled the trigger on that management change shortly after the market closed on Thursday.

FedEx (FDX, Fortune 500) shares slid after the company lowered its guidance when it reported quarterly results Thursday. The package delivery company cited the slowing global economy and higher fuel prices.

Nike (NKE, Fortune 500) will report results after the close.



Market Update

4:30 pm : Aggressive selling pressure sent the stock market down about 4% before it began to bounce into the close. The loss still made for the market's worst one-day percentage drop in a month, though.

A weak finish on Wall Street yesterday and revived concerns about macro conditions, both economic and financial, sent the major global averages sharply lower overnight. That simply perpetuated selling pressure, resulting in a loss of almost 5% for the Global Dow Average, which closed at a new 52-week low.

According to reports, more than 100 stocks listed in the S&P 500 set fresh 52-week lows of their own today. Selling was generally indiscriminate, but natural resource plays suffered the most. As such, the materials sector and energy sector both fell more than 5%.

Weakness among natural resource plays was exacerbated by precipitous drops in commodity prices, such that the CRB Commodity Index fell more than 4% to a new 2011 low. Oil prices weighed most heavily as crude futures fell to $80.51 per barrel for a 6.3% loss, which makes for oil's largest single-session percentage drop since early August. Even gold failed to garner support; it settled with a loss of 3.8% at $1739 per ounce.

The extreme negativity took the Dow down some 500 points and the S&P 500 about 4% lower to set session lows with less than an hour before the closing bell. As if the bleeding wasn't already bad enough, the stock market even threatened to break down further as it slid below its 52-week closing low around the 1120 line. However, some late relief buying brought stocks back from what seemed like the brink of another leg of losses.

The need for safety sent the dollar up sharply. In fact, the Dollar Index climbed more than 1% to set a new multi-month high. Its gains were challenged in the afternoon when the euro was helped by a headline that suggested the European Union is seeking to recapitalize 16 banks. The dollar eventually reclaimed its gains.

Treasuries had an historical day in that the yield on the benchmark 10-year Note dropped to a record low near 1.70%. The Note ended the day more than a full point higher.

All of the action brought plenty of participants in from the sidelines. In turn, share volume on the NYSE climbed to more than 1.7 billion. Advancing volume outnumbered declining volume by more than 50-to-1 on the Big Board.

Advancing Sectors: (None)
Declining Sectors: Materials -5.5%, Energy -5.3%, Industrials -3.8%, Consumer Discretionary -3.3%, Tech -3.2%, Financials -3.0%, Health Care -2.1%, Consumer Staples -1.9%, Telecom -1.8%, Utilities -1.8%DJ30 -391.01 NASDAQ -82.52 NQ100 -3.3% R2K -3.2% SP400 -3.7% SP500 -37.20

3:30 pm : Most commodities remained under pressure today, pressured by the strength in the dollar and concerns about the status of global economies. Gold futures, which posted a loss of 3.8% to finish at $1739 per ounce, did manage to bounce off of their session lows at $1723.20 to recoup some losses. Silver futures, which shed a sizeable 9.8% to end at $36.58 per ounce, traded back toward session lows heading into the close. Both metals, in electronic trade, are seeing a modest pop after the dollar saw a quick pullback on headlines that EU is looking to recapitalize 16 bank.

Crude prices fell 6.3% to settle at $80.51 per barrel, their largest single session percentage drop since early August. Strength in the dollar, coupled with concerns about the state of global economies, pushed crude oil to its worst levels since mid-August. Lastly, natural gas shed 0.5% to end at $3.71 per MMBtu. Futures spiked following this morning's inventory data, which showed an in-line draw down, but gave those gains back to close with modest losses.DJ30 -491.07 NASDAQ -108.53 SP500 -45.87 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 257/2.2 bln/2354 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 247/1.1 bln/2846

3:00 pm : Stocks have failed to turn their recent bounce into anything more than that. In fact, they have started to retrace the move, leaving the major equity averages to drift back toward session lows and all 10 major sectors to trade with losses of more than 2%.

Natural resource plays are still in the worst shape. That has both the materials sector and the energy sector down in excess of 6%. Of course the two sectors have been hurt by broad market weakness, but pressure has been exacerbated by the dive that commodity prices took today. Weakness among commodities has the CRB Commodity Index down more than 4% to a new 2011 low. DJ30 -474.76 NASDAQ -101.60 SP500 -46.72 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 380/1.99 bln/2215 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 325/992 mln/2730

2:30 pm : Stocks have made a sudden upward push from their session lows in response to headlines that suggest that the European Union is looking to recapitalize 16 banks in the region.

The headline has also helped take the euro to a better position; it now trades with a 0.5% loss at $1.350. The euro's move and the stock market's move have combined to cut into the dollar's gain. In turn, the dollar now trades with a 0.7% gain after it had been up more than 1% about an hour ago. DJ30 -395.67 NASDAQ -82.26 SP500 -35.89 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 320/1.73 bln/2260 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 290/855 mln/2765

2:00 pm : Stocks are at new session lows with the S&P 500 teetering on its 52-week closing low near the 1120 line. That has technical traders watching to see if stocks can stabilize or break down to suffer another leg of losses.

As stocks teeter, Treasuries have climbed to new session highs. In turn, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Note has dropped to a new record low of 1.75%.

The greenback has also reclaimed its gains so that it is back to sporting a 1.1% gain over a basket of major foreign currencies. DJ30 -474.91 NASDAQ -105.15 SP500 -46.92 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 370/1.56 bln/2190 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 325/777 mln/2720

1:30 pm : Stocks are back near their session lows. This session is shaping up to be the worst one-day drop for the stock market since a 4.5% drop almost one month ago.DJ30 -424.13 NASDAQ -80.99 SP500 -40.01 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 425/1.41 bln/2120 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 320/702 mln/2700

1:00 pm : Stocks are up from their session lows, but overall losses remain steep as market participants react to revived concerns about global economic conditions and the looming threat of contagion in Europe.

Stocks finished the prior session in weak fashion after the Fed unveiled what Wall Street is calling "Operation Twist." Pressure spread abroad overnight, prompting global markets to slide sharply. In Asia, Japan's Nikkei fell more than 2% and Hong Kong's Hang Seng sank almost 5%. In Europe, France's CAC fell more than 5%, while both Britain's FTSE and Germany's DAX dropped about 5%.

Disappointing data has further undermined sentiment. For China, the latest HSBC Manufacturing PMI slipped from the prior reading. Both Germany and France reported declines in their manufacturing and services PMI, as did the broader eurozone. Domestic data featured another weekly initial jobless claims tally that exceeded 400,000, as had been expected. However, Leading Indicators for August increased by 0.3%, which exceeds the 0.1% that had been anticipated.

Worries about the economy have really hurt commodities, such that oil prices have tumbled more than 5% to less than $81 per barrel for the first time in a month. Even gold has failed to find buyers, despite commonly being regarded as a safe haven -- the precious metal is down more than 3% at the moment. Overall weakness in the commodity complex has the CRB Commodity Index down about 4% to a new 2011 low.

Pressure on oil, commodities, and other natural resources has made for dramatic declines among energy and materials stocks. Those two sectors are down about 5%.

Few stocks have gone unscathed today. The mass selling effort has stoked volatility, such that the Volatility Index is up more than 10% to its highest level in nearly one month.

The dollar and Treasuries seem to be the only positive plays today. The greenback is currently up 0.9% as some look to stuff their coffers with cash instead of risky assets, while others are looking for just a bit of yield by going into Treasuries. Strength in Treasuries has actually taken the yield on the benchmark 10-year Note down to a record low of less than 1.80%. DJ30 -372.89 NASDAQ -68.68 SP500 -34.22 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 395/1.30 bln/2140 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 305/645 mln/2700

12:30 pm : Stocks have descended deeper into negative territory. As a result, all three major equity averages are now down by 3% or more.

Amid so much negative sentiment, the Volatility Index, which is often euphemistically labeled the Fear Gauge, is up more than 10% to its highest level in nearly one month. DJ30 -405.96 NASDAQ -76.67 SP500 -37.94 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 365/1.18 bln/2155 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 280/585 mln/2720

12:00 pm : Revived concerns about the economy are weighing heavily on the overall market, but materials stocks, cyclical in nature, have come under especially sharp selling pressure. In turn, the materials sector is down 5.0% this session. That slump takes the sector to its lowest level in a year.

Energy stocks aren't faring much better today. The sector has dropped about 4.8% as oil prices plummet to $80.90 per barrel for a 5.8% loss. Within the energy sector, Range Resources (RRC 68.49, +0.53), a natural gas play, is one of the few stocks that has actually managed to muster a gain. The stock's strength comes as some analysts speculate that the stock is a possible merger and acquisition play. DJ30 -398.53 NASDAQ -76.10 SP500 -37.85 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 465/1.02 bln/2035 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 325/515 mln/2655

11:30 am : The Nasdaq is below its best level of the day, but it has also managed to keep itself positioned above its session low. Although down deeply for the day, the Nasdaq has managed to limit its loss to less than that of either of its counterparts -- the Dow and S&P 500. In the prior session the Nasdaq had also outperformed before it rolled over to close with a sizable loss alongside the broader market.

Tech stocks helped prop up the Nasdaq in the prior session, but the sector has done nothing to offer support amid today's sell-off. Tech stocks, as a group, are down about 2.5% at the moment. DJ30 -345.94 NASDAQ -61.88 SP500 -33.69 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 450/880 mln/2010 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 300/440 mln/2675

11:00 am : Even though all 30 of its components are still down deeply, the Dow recently attempted to ease up from the low that it set earlier this morning. It has since drifted lower so that it is back to trading with a loss of more than 300 points, or about 3%.

Within the Dow, United Technologies (UTX 69.20, -5.67) and DuPont (DD 41.83, -2.79) are in the worst shape, mostly because participants, though engaged in broad-based selling, have been especially harsh on industrial issues and materials plays. There isn't a single stock in the Dow that has managed to limit its loss to less than 1%. DJ30 -338.23 NASDAQ -61.45 SP500 -33.14 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 500/695 mln/1935 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 315/360 mln/2625

10:35 am : Commodities are down sharply today on broad market weakness. Natural has futures were showing more modest losses ahead of today's inventory data, down 1.3% Following the data, which showed a build of 89 bcf versus a build of 91 bcf, natural gas spiked into positive territory and is currently 0.3% higher at $3.74/MMBtu.

Crude oil futures are down sharply and fell as far as $80.38 barrel just over an hour ago. In current activity, crude is down 4.9% at $81.73/barrel.

Precious are the worst performing commodities as silver is down 9.0% at $36.84, while gold is 4.3% lower at $1730.20/oz. Gold has been on a steady downtrend all session and just recently hit new session lows of $1724.30/oz and silver fell as far as $36.40/oz.

Grains are down sharply as well with corn down 3.1% at $6.65/bushel, wheat down 2.7% at $6.49/bushel and soybeans 2.0% lower at $12.94/bushel.DJ30 -283.73 NASDAQ -48.56 SP500 -26.73 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 510/636 mln/1905 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 340/336 mln/2596

10:00 am : About 98% of the names in the S&P 500 are in the red. Goodrich (GR 120.44, +10.95) is one of the few that has found positive territory, but that's because the company is being acquired by United Technologies (UTX 70.00, -4.87) for $127.50 per share. Meanwhile, Molycorp (MCP 34.71, -5.14) is one of this morning's worst performers. Its tumble today marks an extension of the precipitous drop that it suffered earlier this week; the stock is now down 35% week to date.DJ30 -355.86 NASDAQ -78.67 SP500 -36.43 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 245/200 mln/2050 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 170/140 mln/2670

09:45 am : Aggressive selling has made for widespread weakness this morning. As such, all 10 major sectors are in negative territory this morning; losses in each currently exceed 1%.

Natural resource plays are experiencing some of the sharpest losses. More specifically, energy stocks are down 4.2% as a group, while materials stocks are collectively down 4.9%.

Telecom and utilities, down 1.5% and 1.7%, respectively, haven't exactly fought off sellers, but so far their losses are the least severe. Both sectors boast stable businesses and offer relatively robust dividend yields. DJ30 -337.45 NASDAQ -68.58 SP500 -33.05

09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -35.80. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -61.00. Wall Street sold off in the prior session. Selling interest has since intensified and spread. Not only does that have the major global averages down deeply today, but it has also positioned domestic averages for another leg down. Yet gold has failed to garner any kind of buying interest in the presence of such tumult. Instead, its price has plummeted nearly 4% to about $1740 per ounce. Treasuries and the dollar are benefiting from a flight to safety, though. In turn, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Note is below 1.80% for a record low. Meanwhile, the greenback is off of its morning high, but still up 0.9% against a collection of competing currencies.

09:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -34.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -57.00. Crude oil prices have been cut down to $81 per barrel -- their lowest level in more than a month -- for a 5.8% loss in the opening minutes of pit trade. Meanwhile, natural gas prices are down a relatively tame 0.8% to $3.70 per MMBtu ahead of weekly inventory data at 10:30 AM ET. Gold prices have plunged to $1740 per ounce for a 3.8% loss. Worse still, silver has slumped to $37.11 per ounce for a 8.3% loss. Overall weakness in the commodity complex has the CRB Commodity Index down 3.3%.

08:35 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -34.20. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -57.50. Unimpressed by the latest weekly jobless claims data, sellers continue to apply heavy pressure to stock futures, which have drifted downward in during recent action to set new morning lows. Initial jobless claims for the week ended September 17 eased down to 423,000 from an upwardly revised 432,000 in the prior week, but the latest tally still exceeds the 418,000 initial claims that had been generally anticipated among economists surveyed by Briefing.com. As for continuing claims, they came in at 3.73 million, which is down from the 3.76 million that had been reported for the previous week.

08:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -31.90. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -54.00. Negativity stemming from a global sell off has sent stock futures sharply lower this morning, positioning stocks for an extension of their late slide in the prior session. Underwhelming data from Europe and China hasn't helped sentiment. Market participants get another dose with the latest weekly initial jobless claims count at the bottom of the hour. The monthly report on Leading Indicators is due at 10:00 AM ET. Amid the negative sentiment, questions and concerns about global economic conditions have been revived. Of course, the ongoing threat of contagion from the corners of Europe continues to loom. In turn, commodities are being clipped aggressively this morning. Among the more widely watched resources, crude oil futures are down 4.7% to $81.90 per barrel ahead of pit trade. Gold hasn't benefited from any kind of flight to safety; it is down 3.8% to $1740 per ounce. However, the greenback has benefited from strong buying interest; it currently leads a basket of competing currencies by 1.1%. Treasuries are also attracting plenty of bids. Buying has been so strong that the yield on the benchmark 10-year Note is now below 1.80%.

06:45 am : [BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: -30.60. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -54.80.

06:45 am : Nikkei...8560.26...-180.90...-2.10%. Hang Seng...17911.95...-912.20...-4.90%.

06:45 am : FTSE...5072.14...-216.30...-4.10%. DAX...5231.13...-202.70...-3.70%.

Special thanks to Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries.

Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Price Action Trading (no technical indicators)
@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader and http://stocktwits.com/wrbtrader

Phone: +1.708.572.4885
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